The US Dollar: Importance and Impact on the Saudi Financial Market 2024-2025

The US dollar is the most influential and widely used currency in the world, holding a central position in both international and domestic economies. In the Saudi financial market, the US dollar takes on even greater significance due to the Kingdom’s decades-long policy of pegging the Saudi riyal to the dollar. This peg has ensured monetary and financial stability, supporting Saudi economic growth and boosting investor confidence. By maintaining a fixed exchange rate, the riyal’s value remains stable against the dollar, limiting sharp fluctuations and making the dollar a primary benchmark for oil revenues, international trade, foreign reserves, and even local monetary policy. Any changes in US interest rate policy or global dollar prices are reflected almost immediately in the Saudi economy, especially given that most international transactions, oil revenues, and foreign reserves are denominated in dollars. This article provides a comprehensive overview of all aspects related to the US dollar in the Saudi market, from the historical roots of the currency peg to the latest economic developments in 2024 and 2025, with in-depth data analysis, sectoral impacts, challenges, and future outlook.

Definition of the US Dollar and Its Global Standing

The US dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States. Since the end of World War II, it has become the world’s primary reserve currency and the most widely used in international trade and financial transactions. Today, over 80% of global financial transactions involve the dollar, and it accounts for more than 60% of official reserves held by central banks worldwide. This status not only reflects the strength of the US economy but is also rooted in global trust in the stability of the US financial system and the dollar’s ability to retain its value. In oil, gold, commodities, and government debt markets, the dollar remains the main unit of pricing and exchange, granting it unique control over global liquidity and trade flows.

History of the Saudi Riyal Peg to the US Dollar

Saudi Arabia began pegging its national currency, the Saudi riyal, to the US dollar in the early 1980s, following a transitional period when it was linked to gold and other currencies. This decision aimed to ensure monetary stability and control inflation, especially since most of the Kingdom’s revenues come from oil exports priced in dollars. In August 2016, the exchange rate was officially fixed at 3.7500 riyals per dollar. Since then, Saudi Arabia has maintained this rate through active monetary policy managed by the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA), intervening as needed to balance dollar supply and demand in the local market. This peg has enabled the Kingdom to maintain relative economic stability and avoid the currency crises experienced by economies not pegged to the dollar.

The US Dollar and Saudi Oil Revenues

Oil exports are the main source of government revenue in Saudi Arabia, and nearly all are priced and sold in US dollars on global markets. When oil prices rise in dollar terms, the Kingdom’s revenues increase directly, boosting foreign reserves and supporting development plans and the general budget. In 2024, the average price of Brent crude was around $80–85 per barrel, and Saudi Aramco achieved annual revenues exceeding $435 billion. All these funds flow into state coffers in dollars, making the dollar’s stability and strength a critical factor in the Kingdom’s ability to fund government spending, execute major projects, and maintain current account balance.

Exchange Rate and Monetary Stability Policy in Saudi Arabia

The Saudi riyal’s exchange rate is fixed at 3.7500 riyals per dollar, with minimal fluctuations thanks to interventions by the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA). This policy is the cornerstone of monetary stability in the Kingdom. SAMA continuously monitors demand for dollars versus riyals and uses its large foreign currency reserves to stabilize the market as needed. If demand for dollars rises—such as during increased remittances abroad or the Hajj season—the central bank injects dollars into the market to maintain the fixed rate. Conversely, if there is a dollar surplus, it is absorbed by purchasing dollars and supporting reserves. This policy shields the Saudi economy from currency volatility and provides security for both local and foreign investors.

Saudi Foreign Reserves and Their Importance

Saudi Arabia holds one of the world’s largest foreign reserves, most of which are in US dollars. Data from 2024 shows that SAMA’s foreign reserves exceed $300 billion. This vast reserve allows the country to cover imports for several months and serves as a financial buffer against global crises. The Kingdom invests part of these reserves in US Treasury bonds and other low-risk financial assets, ensuring high liquidity and protection from market volatility. The presence of these reserves also strengthens global investor confidence in the Saudi economy and gives SAMA significant flexibility to stabilize the exchange rate or support local liquidity.

Impact of US Interest Rate Policies on the Saudi Economy

Because the Saudi riyal is pegged to the dollar, Saudi monetary policy is directly influenced by decisions of the US Federal Reserve. When the Fed raises interest rates, SAMA usually follows suit to maintain the riyal’s attractiveness and the currency peg. In 2024, Saudi interest rates were set at 5.25–5.50%, in line with US rates. This alignment affects local borrowing costs, inflation rates, and capital flows. Higher interest rates increase the cost of consumer and commercial loans but also support reserves and limit capital outflows in search of higher dollar returns.

The Dollar and Inflation in Saudi Arabia

The stability of the riyal against the dollar has helped the Kingdom control inflation rates, particularly for imported goods. At the end of 2023, annual inflation was about 3.7% and remained around this level in 2024 despite global pressures. This stability is due to the Kingdom’s ability to import goods and services in dollars without worrying about currency fluctuations. However, global changes in the dollar’s value or interest rates can increase the cost of some imports, partially affecting the general price level. SAMA uses monetary tools—such as raising interest rates or intervening in the currency market—to limit the transmission of imported inflation to the local economy.

The US Dollar and Saudi Foreign Trade

The Kingdom relies heavily on the dollar for its international trade transactions, both imports and exports. In 2024, the value of Saudi imports reached about $245 billion, most of which were settled in dollars. Conversely, the Kingdom receives most of its export revenues in dollars, especially from oil and petrochemicals. This reliance makes the dollar a core currency in Saudi Arabia’s trade balance and reduces the risks associated with fluctuations in other exchange rates. For banks and companies, monetary stability enables significant facilitation of international banking operations, remittances, and trade financing.

Dollar Competition: Global Currencies and Digital Assets

Despite the dollar’s dominance, it faces competition from other major currencies such as the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, and Chinese yuan. Collectively, these currencies account for a much smaller share of central bank reserves compared to the dollar. In recent years, stablecoins like USDT and USDC have emerged as tools for international transfers, but their impact on the official Saudi market remains limited. The Kingdom has not yet launched a central bank digital currency, further reinforcing the dollar’s continued dominance in both international and local transactions.

The Dollar in the Saudi Banking Sector

The dollar plays a pivotal role in the Saudi banking sector, with major banks offering dollar accounts and international transfer facilities. Local banks compete to attract dollar deposits from companies and individuals, especially amid rising remittances from foreign workers and multinational corporations. Banks also provide instant dollar trading services through digital applications, facilitating daily buying and selling. In 2024, Saudi banks expanded digital products linked to the dollar, such as futures contracts and dollar-denominated investment products, enhancing the flexibility of the Saudi financial market.

The Dollar and Saudi Stock and Bond Markets

The dollar indirectly affects Saudi stock and bond markets through foreign capital flows and the valuation of major companies, especially those linked to oil and petrochemicals. In 2024, the market capitalization of Saudi companies denominated in dollars exceeded $2.1 trillion following several IPOs. The Kingdom also invests part of its reserves in US Treasury bonds, providing safe returns and strengthening ties with global financial markets. Dollar stability supports the attractiveness of the Saudi financial market for foreign investors and reduces currency risk when investing in stocks or bonds.

Remittances and the Dollar in Saudi Society

Remittances play a major role in demand for the dollar within the Kingdom, especially with millions of foreign workers. In 2024, remittances abroad increased by 10–12% compared to the previous year, most of which were sent in dollars to countries such as India and the Philippines. Electronic payment platforms that enable dollar buying and selling via mobile apps have also flourished, making transfers and trading easier for individuals and companies. This activity underscores the dollar’s ongoing importance in the daily economic life of Saudi society, for both individuals and institutions.

Recent Developments and the Future of the Dollar in Saudi Arabia

The years 2024 and 2025 have seen numerous developments in Saudi Arabia’s relationship with the dollar, most notably the continued currency peg, rising reserves, and increased economic cooperation with the United States in energy and technology. The Kingdom has also launched new dollar-denominated financial products, such as Green Sukuks, expanding the use of the dollar in debt and investment markets. Despite media discussions about reducing reliance on the dollar, official policies affirm the Kingdom’s commitment to the peg for the foreseeable future, with ongoing monitoring of global economic trends and US interest rate policies.

Conclusion

In summary, the US dollar is a central pillar of the Saudi economy, underpinning monetary stability, budget financing, and support for trade and investment. The policy of pegging the riyal to the dollar has proven effective over decades in shielding the Saudi market from global currency volatility and ensuring financial stability, which has contributed to strong growth rates and high investor confidence. As global economic changes continue, the Kingdom closely monitors the impact of the dollar and US Federal Reserve policies, investing in strengthening reserves and diversifying sovereign investments. Consulting a licensed financial advisor remains essential for any investor or individual seeking to understand the implications of dollar movements on their financial decisions. It is also important to follow specialized analysis on platforms like SIGMIX to stay updated and make confident financial decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

The official fixed exchange rate for the Saudi riyal against the US dollar is 3.7500 riyals per dollar. This rate has remained stable for many years due to the currency peg managed by the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA), with only minimal fluctuations due to bank or exchange house fees. There are no significant price swings in the local Saudi market, ensuring stability for consumers and investors.

The Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) maintains the riyal-dollar exchange rate by managing a large reserve of US dollars. When demand for dollars or riyals increases, SAMA intervenes by buying or selling dollars to keep the rate fixed. It also aligns local interest rates with US rates to attract capital and prevent speculation on the local currency, ensuring continued exchange rate stability.

Thanks to the fixed peg, the Saudi domestic market is not directly affected by global dollar fluctuations. However, major changes in the dollar’s value can impact oil revenues, import costs, and stock market performance. Additionally, US monetary policies, such as interest rate hikes, affect borrowing costs in Saudi Arabia and thus indirectly influence the local economy.

US dollars can be easily purchased through commercial banks or licensed exchange houses in the Kingdom. Transactions are conducted at the official rate with minor service fees. Some Saudi banks allow opening dollar accounts or converting riyals to dollars via digital banking apps. For large amounts, banks may require additional documentation to verify the source of funds and comply with regulations.

The US dollar constitutes the largest portion of Saudi Arabia’s foreign reserves, which exceed $300 billion. These reserves support the currency peg, finance imports, and are invested in US Treasury bonds. A large dollar reserve boosts confidence in the Saudi economy and gives the Kingdom significant flexibility to face global financial crises.

There are currently no official plans to change the riyal-dollar peg policy. Saudi authorities affirm that the peg has proven effective in achieving economic and monetary stability, and any potential change would require thorough study and careful review of its impact on the national economy. For now, the Kingdom continues to rely on the peg as a long-term strategic choice.

Pegging the riyal to the dollar helps reduce imported inflation, as prices of imported goods remain stable in dollar terms. However, global changes in the dollar’s value or US interest rates can affect the cost of some imports, partially impacting local inflation. SAMA uses monetary tools to limit the transmission of global inflation to the local market.

The main competitors to the dollar are the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, and Chinese yuan. However, none of these account for more than 20% of global reserves, while the dollar holds a leading share of over 60%. In the Gulf region, most currencies are pegged to the dollar, reducing direct competition in the Saudi local market.

Decisions by the US Federal Reserve directly affect Saudi monetary policy, as SAMA often raises or lowers local interest rates in line with US rates. This impacts borrowing costs, deposit yields, and capital flows, helping to maintain the currency peg and protect foreign reserves.

Dollar fluctuations do not directly impact Saudi stock prices, which are denominated in riyals, but they do influence foreign capital flows, the valuation of companies with dollar revenues, and the performance of sectors like oil and petrochemicals. A strong dollar typically boosts reserves and supports financial stability, while a weaker dollar can reduce foreign investment flows if it declines globally.